Betting the
National Football League (NFL) Playoffs
If you’ve had a good season
betting on the National Football League the odds are pretty good
that you are keen to put your luck and knowledge to the test
once again in the post season.
It’s
important to remember that the post season playoffs in the NFL,
as in other sports leagues, is a totally different proposition
than the regular season. Let’s take a look at some important
things to consider when you’re betting on the NFL playoffs.
The first thing to do is to get in the
heads of the players. In the regular season, you’ll probably
notice that a lot of good teams win their games but don’t
necessarily cover the spread. This is because the focus of a lot
of teams during the season is to make the playoffs, and the
players know that they don’t have to come out with 100% effort
every minute of every game in order to accomplish their goal.
They can afford to sit back a little bit when they have a good
lead and maybe even make a few careless plays. It will even out
in the end and as long as they keep winning, they won’t get
burned.
The playoffs, on the other hand, are do
or die affairs. The loss of one game means that the entire year
is over and a team won’t have a chance again until the following
year, when the long grind towards the playoffs will begin again.
The approach of a successful sports bettor should take into
account this shifting mentality on the part of a playoff team.
What the extra effort a team puts forth
in the playoffs usually means is that they not only win their
game, but also cover the spread when they are the favorites. In
the regular season the spread can be poor value when it comes to
sports betting, but when an entire team has one goal it tends to
focus well. All of a sudden, the favorites are safe bets to
cover. Don’t make this your only criteria when it comes to
placing a bet, but it’s a good foundation to start with when it
comes to deciding where to put your money.
Fans also tend to get into games more
during the playoffs, and the energy can be picked up on by the
home team. In fact in the playoffs the home team has a 60%
chance of covering the spread, which is significantly higher
than the chances of home teams during the regular season.
Of course the work you do and the
knowledge you bring to the table outweigh statistics when it
comes to sports betting. If you are sure that an NFL team is
going to come out of a playoff game on top due to cohesiveness,
coaching, records, or injuries even though they are neither the
home team or the favorite, bet accordingly. Keeping those
considerations in mind is just another weapon in your arsenal
when it comes to successful handicapping.
Marshall
Published on 07/09/2007
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