NFL Week 7 point spread: New England vs. Miami, Tennessee at Houston

In this first edition of the point spread and betting preview of NFL Week 7 we look at the games New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins and Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans.

NFL Week 7 point spread: New England vs. Miami, Tennessee at Houston We will start the football Week 7 betting preview with the game with highest point spread and the football game with the lowest point spread to cover. First, let's look at the match-up between the unbeaten New England Patriots (6-0) and the struggling Miami Dolphins (0-6). The record of these two NFL teams clearly indicates who will be the winner of the game, the online sportsbook Bookmaker has listed the Pats with odds on winning -2000 and the Dolphins are the ultimate Week 7 underdog with odds +1250. The point spread on the New England Patriots vs. the Miami Dolphins is favoring New England -16.5 points and the total is sitting at 52 points.

Why such a low point spread on this game? Well, statistically, this AFC East matchup will have the division's No.1 defense and offense of the Patriots meet the AFC East No.2 defense and offense. Although the Dolphins have lost every single game this season, on average Miami is losing the games by exactly 9 points. But they have not met the incredible Patriots yet, who on average win their games by 18 points. The Patriots are in great shape, consider that they won against the Cowboys by 21 points, take advantage of this spread while it lasts. New England is 5-0 against the spread in its last 5 games and 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.

The Sunday football game between the Tennessee Titans (3-2) and the Houston Texans (3-3), on the other side, carries the lowest betting numbers. This game is so unpredictable that Bookmaker has listed the Titans as favorite to win with odds -120 and the Texans are barely underdog with money line +105. The point spread on the Tennessee Titians vs. the Houston Texans has the lowest margin of all football games this week, favoring the Titans -1.5 points with an expected total of 38.5 points. Betting trends show that Tennessee is 5-1 against the spread in its last 6 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston.

Both teams could be found at the bottom of the AFC South table and although the Houston Texans outrank offensively Tennessee, the Titans have allowed only 14.4 points average per game, 4th in the league. Texans quarterback Matt Schaub has been reborn after joining Houston from the backup position with the Falcons and is 130 from 188 attempted with 1558 yards this season. If we had to make a pick, this game will definitely go against the bookie and the Houston Texans will win by at least 3 points.

Published on 10/17/2007