Sen. John McCain
may not be your best bet
It's getting really hard
for the Republican punters these days, first Giuliani goes up in
scandals, now more bad news from the Sen. John McCain campaign.
you plan to wager on the 2008 Presidential Elections, here is
another Republican candidate we are putting on notice - Sen.
McCain used to be one of the favorite
among the Republicans to win the Elections, but the truck full
of bad news keeps on rolling for the candidate. What is turning
the wheel of his campaign around?
With the Republican Party taking a
stance against the Iraq war, McCain continues to support the
president and the war itself. Strolling around the markets of
Bagdad (with bulletproof vest and heavy security) gave McCain a
little boost in the odds, although that was during the time of
"cut-and-run". But according to the latest Gallup poll on the
war - 62% of the Americans now believe that sending troops
in Iraq was a mistake (click
here to see the full analysis and poll results).
Compared with 61% of the US citizens against sending troops in
Vietnam in 1971. Yet on Tuesday, Sen. John McCain went to the
floor of the Senate to defend President Bush's Iraq policy. When
you run for president, you should at least pretend to listen to
your people. In his defense, however, it would be hard to
justify a "flip-flop" in his opinion. Still, supporting the Iraq
war is not a good card to play during the Presidential Race.
Money is running short at the McCain
camp. After raising only $11.2 million in the second quarter,
John McCain was left with only $2 million in cash on hand. Not a
good sign, when compared to the $30 million other presidential
candidates cashed in during the Q2.
Which leads to the last and biggest blow
to his campaign - also on Tuesday, two of John McCain top aides
left his campaign. Manager Terry Nelson and chief strategist
John Weaver are no longer working for John McCain. How bad is
this? Well, some comment on the lost of Weaver: "It's like Bush
losing Rove." The shortage in contributions, tied together with
accusations of disastrous spending decisions, pushed Terry
Nelson to offer his resignation. John Weaver insisted on Nelson
continuing with the campaign, but frictions among the top aides
in the McCain camp doubled the damage. Now both aides are out of
the game, and there are rumors that another top adviser will be
leaving John McCain.
The betting odds on John McCain are also
stepping down. According to the oddsmaker
Bodog Sports, John McCain now
has the odds of 16/1 to win the 2008 Presidential Elections.
Odds on McCain are even worse than Al Gore (13/1), who is not
even running for president (yet). Even Mike Bloomberg, also not
officially running, now has the odds of 15/1, thus with better
chances of winning, than the actual candidate.
The odds on John McCain for being chosen
as the Republican Candidate for the 2008 Elections, have also
taken a nose-down dive. The bookmaker offers 5/1 on McCain, now
forth in line, surpassed by Giuliani (3/2), Fred Thompson (2/1),
and Mitt Romney - 4/1.
Bookmark OGPaper.com for the latest news
and in-depth analysis of the biggest betting event of 2008 - The
Published on 07/11/2007
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